Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
FEN
6 - 1
CAZ
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
CAZ
1 - 3
ATL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
NEC
4 - 0
CAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
CAZ
3 - 2
STR
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
PUM
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
PUM
3 - 1
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
AME
1 - 1
PUM
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 1
ATS
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
PUM
1 - 0
PUE
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |