Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Cruz Azul vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2001 |
RIV
0 - 0
CAZ
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
CAZ
3 - 1
CCP
63%
19%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2001 |
CCP
2 - 1
CAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
CAZ
3 - 1
OLM
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 2
CAZ
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
RIV
5 - 1
ALM
87%
9%
4%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
RIV
0 - 0
CAZ
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
BEL
1 - 3
RIV
11%
18%
71%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
RIV
5 - 0
EME
87%
9%
4%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 0
RAC
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |