La Calzada vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIA
2 - 1
CDF
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CDF
4 - 0
RIV
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
OYO
3 - 1
CDF
52%
24%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDF
0 - 1
SMC
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SDL
4 - 0
CDF
89%
9%
3%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 3
ALF
13%
20%
68%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
ARN
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIA
2 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 2
RIV
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
OYO
2 - 2
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |