Tercera RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 3-1
La Calzada vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDF
5 - 2
OYO
42%
26%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
OYO
0 - 0
CDF
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDF
1 - 0
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
CDF
21%
24%
56%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CDF
5 - 0
RRF
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
VAR
4 - 2
ANG
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ANG
2 - 3
VAR
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 3
NAX
40%
23%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BER
4 - 5
VAR
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 5
VAR
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |