La Calzada vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
9º
5º
67
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 2
CDF
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDF
1 - 0
COM
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OYO
2 - 1
CDF
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDF
1 - 0
VIA
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
YAG
1 - 5
CDF
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAX
1 - 0
BER
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 2
NAX
12%
19%
69%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NAX
2 - 0
RRF
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 2
NAX
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
RUN
1 - 0
NAX
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |