La Calzada vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
CAU
1 - 0
CDF
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
CDF
3 - 2
AVI
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
SIE
2 - 2
CDF
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
CDF
2 - 3
PEL
72%
16%
13%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
UPL
9 - 0
CDF
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
LUA
1 - 1
TUR
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
LEN
1 - 1
LUA
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
LUA
4 - 3
LLA
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
RAR
0 - 2
LUA
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
LUA
3 - 0
CAN
86%
9%
5%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |