La Calzada vs Cenicero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CDL
1 - 3
CDF
19%
22%
60%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ANG
3 - 2
CDF
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CDF
0 - 0
AUT
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NAX
0 - 1
CDF
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CDF
1 - 1
YAG
49%
23%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cenicero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 2
ANG
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 0
CEN
33%
26%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 0
NAX
60%
21%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
YAG
5 - 0
CEN
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 0
OYO
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |