La Calzada vs Vianés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
9º
5º
35
5º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
YAG
1 - 5
CDF
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDF
3 - 0
HAR
47%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 2
CDF
69%
17%
13%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
CDF
63%
21%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 1
CDF
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vianés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 2
BER
50%
23%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
VIA
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 0
RRF
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
VIA
4 - 0
RAP
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 2
VIA
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |