CDC Comercial vs Lucero-Linces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDC Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 3
COM
13%
17%
69%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
ROZ
70%
16%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
EFC
1 - 1
COM
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
MOB
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TVA
0 - 1
COM
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUL
1 - 6
RBR
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
IBT
0 - 2
LUL
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LUL
3 - 2
VDO
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUL
2 - 4
UCA
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ROZ
1 - 1
LUL
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |