CDB Herencia vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDB Herencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAS
1 - 2
CDB
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDB
3 - 0
MES
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 3
CDB
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDB
5 - 1
MCR
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 3
CDM
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
LME
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEM
2 - 3
VIL
9%
15%
77%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
DAI
42%
24%
35%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CRI
3 - 1
VIL
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
APU
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |