Cornellana vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
40.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+407%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cornellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AVI
4 - 0
CRN
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CRN
0 - 1
CAR
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BOA
3 - 2
CRN
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CRN
3 - 1
HIS
22%
20%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PRV
2 - 2
CRN
70%
16%
14%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
BOA
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HIS
2 - 0
CAS
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
PRV
19%
19%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TAP
1 - 1
CAS
73%
17%
11%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
LRN
47%
21%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |