Xeraco vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xeraco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GOR
3 - 2
XER
59%
22%
20%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
XER
0 - 1
UDO
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 1
XER
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
XER
2 - 4
REA
42%
25%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
XER
2 - 2
BEN
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PEG
4 - 0
BEN
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 1
PEG
40%
24%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PEG
1 - 0
PED
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MUT
0 - 3
PEG
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PEG
1 - 0
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |