CD Vitoria vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LEI
0 - 2
CDV
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CDV
2 - 2
URD
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AFT
1 - 1
CDV
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
CDV
3 - 0
BTG
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CDV
0 - 3
CDU
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 4
AMU
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PAS
1 - 0
TOL
58%
23%
20%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 3
UCD
49%
25%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
TOL
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 3
BAR
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |