Villalpando vs San Lorenzo de Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villalpando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
XUV
1 - 3
VIL
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
6 - 0
ATL
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
VIL
83%
11%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
6 - 0
COM
51%
20%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
BEN
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo de Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 0
MOR
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SZA
3 - 5
LOR
83%
11%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 1
MOR
7%
13%
80%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOV
1 - 0
LOR
67%
18%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |