CD Villacarrillo vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALH
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MLK
0 - 3
VIL
21%
23%
57%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 0
CAR
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 0
FUE
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
CDR
60%
22%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BAE
2 - 1
RJA
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
CHU
65%
20%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ACO
2 - 1
RJA
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 0
BEN
36%
25%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |