Varea B vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BAÑ
2 - 1
VAR
22%
20%
59%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
VAR
5 - 4
CEN
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALD
0 - 1
VAR
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 0
CFC
68%
17%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
VAR
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RAP
0 - 1
TED
24%
22%
55%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BAÑ
2 - 2
RAP
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
RAP
2 - 0
CEN
33%
24%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ALD
0 - 2
RAP
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PRA
5 - 1
RAP
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |