Valdehornillo vs Emérita Augusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+344%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdehornillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TRU
3 - 3
VAL
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
4 - 1
ADE
60%
20%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CFP
0 - 3
VAL
15%
17%
68%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 2
ADE
53%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SIR
0 - 5
VAL
18%
21%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Emérita Augusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
EME
1 - 1
TAA
55%
20%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LHA
2 - 2
EME
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
EME
2 - 3
ATL
25%
21%
55%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
EME
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
EME
3 - 2
ROC
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |