CD Union vs UDC Vilaboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
3 - 1
UNI
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
4 - 1
CAM
75%
15%
9%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
COR
1 - 0
UNI
49%
24%
28%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UDC Vilaboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 3
CAL
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIL
32%
23%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 5
PUE
20%
23%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 2
UDE
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 0
CUN
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |