Unión Madereros vs Def. Fraile Pintado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Madereros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GTO
0 - 0
UNM
69%
17%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SPA
5 - 0
UNM
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
UNM
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UNM
3 - 2
TAB
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
UNM
2 - 3
SPA
24%
21%
56%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Fraile Pintado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
SPA
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TAB
2 - 2
FRA
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
9%
16%
76%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAH
2 - 1
FRA
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
MIT
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |