CD Torrão vs Pasteleira analysis


10	ELO	34
2%	Tilt	-0.2%
25972º	General ELO ranking	25958º
906º	Country ELO ranking	892º
ELO win probability

9.5%

CD Torrão

16.8%

Draw

73.7%

Pasteleira

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

9.5%

Win probability

0.69

Expected goals

4-0

<0%

5-1

<0%

+4

0.1%

3-0

0.3%

4-1

0.1%

5-2

<0%

+3

0.4%

2-0

1.2%

3-1

0.6%

4-2

0.1%

5-3

<0%

+2

2%

1-0

3.5%

2-1

2.8%

3-2

0.7%

4-3

0.1%

+1

7.1%

16.8%

Draw

0-0

5%

1-1

8%

2-2

3.2%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

0

16.8%

73.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%