Toreno vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1982 |
TOR
4 - 1
AST
55%
24%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
ACF
2 - 1
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
TOR
2 - 2
PON
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
VDB
3 - 0
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
TOR
4 - 0
CIU
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1982 |
TOR
4 - 1
AST
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
AST
3 - 2
CDF
66%
21%
14%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
SAL
1 - 0
AST
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
AST
3 - 1
CAC
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
CAB
4 - 0
AST
61%
22%
16%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |