CD Toledo vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 0
CDT
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CDT
1 - 1
VEC
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 1
CDT
47%
28%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CDT
0 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
CDT
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UBC
3 - 3
LEG
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SSR
0 - 0
UBC
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
UBC
1 - 2
RVB
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CDT
1 - 1
UBC
83%
13%
5%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
UBC
0 - 2
RMC
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |