CD Toledo vs Talavera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
CDT
2 - 0
UDL
34%
29%
38%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
TAL
1 - 1
CDT
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 0
CDT
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
ALA
3 - 0
CDT
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
CDT
3 - 2
LEG
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
TAL
2 - 1
LEA
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
TAL
1 - 1
CDT
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
GET
0 - 1
TAL
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1998 |
BEA
1 - 1
TAL
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1998 |
TAL
2 - 2
BEA
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |