CD Toledo vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
16.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SLA
5 - 4
CDT
86%
9%
5%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
CDT
4 - 2
TOM
62%
17%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
CPC
7 - 2
CDT
69%
15%
16%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
CDT
5 - 0
FER
79%
12%
10%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
AVI
2 - 4
CDT
74%
13%
13%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
AVI
8 - 2
GIM
77%
12%
11%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
CDB
2 - 1
AVI
80%
11%
8%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
AVI
3 - 4
PUL
60%
18%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
BET
4 - 0
AVI
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
AVI
2 - 4
CDT
74%
13%
13%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |