Thader vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+234%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
THD
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
THD
1 - 0
ELD
26%
23%
52%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 1
THD
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
THD
3 - 0
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
THD
1 - 1
HON
47%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
BEN
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
VIL
72%
17%
12%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
PET
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 2
VIL
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
UNI
38%
23%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |