Thader vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 1
THD
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
THD
1 - 0
VIJ
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
THD
0 - 3
CAL
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 4
THD
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
THD
0 - 1
SFF
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PET
0 - 0
BEN
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 0
PET
39%
23%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
PET
1 - 4
ATH
23%
21%
56%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
PET
2 - 2
HOR
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
4 - 3
PET
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |