Thader vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 0
THD
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
THD
0 - 0
BEN
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
THD
0 - 3
UNI
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
THD
3 - 0
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
3 - 3
THD
20%
23%
58%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
PET
1 - 1
VIJ
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PET
2 - 1
TOR
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PET
0 - 3
CAL
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 0
PET
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PET
1 - 2
UNI
12%
19%
70%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |