Thader vs Novelda UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
13%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NUC
2 - 1
THD
70%
18%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
THD
2 - 2
IND
37%
24%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 1
THD
23%
23%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
THD
3 - 2
CRE
23%
25%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
VIJ
2 - 1
THD
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NUD
3 - 0
SPO
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ELD
3 - 1
NUD
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NUD
1 - 1
RED
19%
23%
59%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 3
NUD
24%
24%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NUD
4 - 1
VIL
14%
20%
66%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |