Thader vs Hércules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ELD
3 - 0
THD
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
THD
1 - 0
CAL
21%
21%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 2
THD
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
THD
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
THD
1 - 3
BEN
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
PET
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 2
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |