Thader vs Murada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 1
THD
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
THD
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
THD
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
THD
0 - 1
VIL
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
THD
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
SPO
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ELD
4 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
RED
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
4 - 0
BEN
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NUD
0 - 0
MUR
40%
22%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |