Thader B vs Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ATO
5 - 0
THA
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
THA
1 - 2
ALG
57%
20%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
THA
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
THA
1 - 1
CFP
27%
21%
51%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 3
THA
63%
18%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
SPO
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CFP
3 - 0
FOR
76%
15%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
FOR
66%
18%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
BEN
43%
23%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GRU
4 - 2
FOR
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |