Thader B vs Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
48.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ATO
7 - 1
THA
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
THA
1 - 4
DNA
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALG
3 - 2
THA
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
THA
1 - 5
MUR
8%
13%
79%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 0
THA
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SPO
4 - 1
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 0
MON
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BIG
6 - 1
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
RED
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CFP
1 - 1
FOR
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |