Serendipity Valdemorillo vs San Lorenzo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
53.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serendipity Valdemorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MZZ
7 - 2
SER
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SER
0 - 4
UCV
10%
14%
76%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BOA
4 - 2
SER
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
RDM
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BDS
3 - 0
SER
80%
13%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAL
3 - 1
MSI
25%
20%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ACC
3 - 3
SAL
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
SAN
49%
21%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CER
6 - 1
SAL
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
4 - 1
HMA
54%
20%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |