La Serena vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 2
DLS
38%
25%
36%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
DLS
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
COL
4 - 4
DLS
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
EVE
1 - 1
DLS
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
DLS
4 - 4
OHI
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
COB
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
ANT
1 - 2
UCO
34%
28%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 1
HUA
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CSL
1 - 2
UCO
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |