Saldaña vs Astudillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
63.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saldaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
SAL
43%
23%
35%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
4 - 1
UDB
73%
16%
10%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
ATA
52%
24%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CER
0 - 1
SAL
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 0
PAL
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Astudillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AST
3 - 2
VIL
92%
6%
2%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
AST
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
AST
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AST
4 - 1
GUA
81%
12%
8%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
JOP
1 - 3
AST
13%
17%
71%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |