CD Salas vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Salas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SDC
2 - 1
SAL
51%
22%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
4 - 1
ATL
82%
11%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TAP
0 - 0
SAL
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 0
BER
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
SAL
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAR
52%
22%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NAR
2 - 2
BER
20%
21%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
NAR
55%
23%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 3
VCD
9%
15%
77%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AST
3 - 0
NAR
55%
22%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |