CD Provincial Osorno vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
6º
40
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 0
LIM
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
CDP
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 1
VAL
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 0
CDP
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 0
CDP
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DLI
0 - 1
FVC
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 2
CDM
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IBE
0 - 1
FVC
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 0
FVC
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
FVC
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |