Portas CD vs Villagarcía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portas CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
POR
1 - 3
LIB
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
POR
0 - 4
FIG
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
POR
5 - 2
BEI
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BUE
0 - 1
POR
47%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
6 - 1
POR
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villagarcía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 2
VIL
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ADR
2 - 3
VIL
73%
16%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FIG
2 - 1
VIL
62%
19%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
BUE
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CUN
2 - 2
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |