Paguera vs CE Alaior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paguera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
CDC
3 - 1
PAG
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAG
0 - 1
IBI
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 1
PAG
40%
27%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
PAG
0 - 5
VIL
22%
25%
53%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
PBL
4 - 1
PAG
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CE Alaior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
ALA
4 - 0
MNU
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CON
5 - 0
ALA
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 0
CFP
42%
28%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ATB
1 - 1
ALA
71%
19%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ALA
2 - 0
UDA
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |