Murada vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
MUR
35%
23%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MUR
2 - 2
ELD
9%
16%
75%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RED
5 - 2
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
MUR
4 - 1
UNI
54%
23%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 1
MUR
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
THD
6 - 1
NOV
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
THD
1 - 1
CAL
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
THD
1 - 1
UNI
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
THD
0 - 0
RAY
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 4
THD
32%
24%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |