FC Motagua vs CD Génesis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
3º
23
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 4
MOT
25%
28%
47%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 0
RSO
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
RES
3 - 3
MOT
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 2
VID
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 70 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 1
CDG
73%
18%
9%
|
17 | 74 | 57 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
CDG
3 - 1
VIC
12%
19%
70%
|
16 | 62 | 46 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
CDG
74%
18%
9%
|
16 | 73 | 57 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 2
CDG
74%
18%
9%
|
14 | 74 | 60 | +2 |