Copa Sudamericana 1/16

Global 1-6

FC Motagua vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis

FC Motagua Arsenal de Sarandí
66 ELO 81
-1.9% Tilt -0.7%
1243º General ELO ranking 527º
Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
25.7%
FC Motagua
25.5%
Draw
48.8%
Arsenal de Sarandí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
FC Motagua
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.8%
Win probability
Arsenal de Sarandí
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Motagua
-5%
-1%
Arsenal de Sarandí

ELO progression

FC Motagua
Arsenal de Sarandí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Motagua
FC Motagua
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2008
MAR
CD Marathón
4 - 0
FC Motagua
MOT
58%
24%
18%
68 74 6 0
20 Aug. 2008
ARS
Arsenal de Sarandí
4 - 0
FC Motagua
MOT
63%
22%
15%
69 80 11 -1
10 Aug. 2008
VID
CDyS Vida
1 - 1
FC Motagua
MOT
34%
26%
40%
69 59 10 0
06 Aug. 2008
MOT
FC Motagua
0 - 0
Real CD España
REA
55%
25%
20%
69 66 3 0
03 Aug. 2008
RJU
CD Real Juventud
1 - 1
FC Motagua
MOT
40%
27%
33%
69 64 5 0

Matches

Arsenal de Sarandí
Arsenal de Sarandí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2008
EST
Estudiantes La Plata
2 - 0
Arsenal de Sarandí
ARS
56%
24%
21%
81 84 3 0
28 Aug. 2008
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 2
Arsenal de Sarandí
ARS
63%
21%
16%
81 85 4 0
24 Aug. 2008
ARS
Arsenal de Sarandí
2 - 1
Godoy Cruz
GOD
48%
27%
25%
80 78 2 +1
20 Aug. 2008
ARS
Arsenal de Sarandí
4 - 0
FC Motagua
MOT
63%
22%
15%
80 69 11 0
16 Aug. 2008
TIG
Tigre
2 - 1
Arsenal de Sarandí
ARS
30%
28%
42%
80 71 9 0