Morata CD vs UD Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AND
0 - 0
CDM
53%
24%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CDM
0 - 1
ACF
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
CDM
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CDM
1 - 3
LAA
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CDU
2 - 1
CDM
68%
20%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
UDM
1 - 2
QUI
31%
25%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
EPI
3 - 1
UDM
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UDM
1 - 0
ALC
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CDC
4 - 3
UDM
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
UDM
0 - 1
CAS
20%
22%
59%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |