Morata CD vs Mallén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CDQ
1 - 3
CDM
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CDM
2 - 2
UDM
21%
22%
57%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 1
CDM
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CDM
0 - 1
CEL
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CFV
5 - 1
CDM
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAL
0 - 0
CDB
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 0
CDQ
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 0
MAL
32%
25%
44%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 2
CFB
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 2
MAL
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |