Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUL
3 - 1
MCA
15%
17%
68%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 0
HSA
85%
10%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
MCA
25%
19%
56%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TOI
1 - 6
MCA
18%
17%
66%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CPK
4 - 0
MCA
58%
18%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
HSA
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 6
FJH
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
CPK
10 - 0
SMA
89%
7%
4%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 0
SMA
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TOI
3 - 3
SMA
63%
18%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |