Monte Carlo vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
MCA
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
MCA
2 - 2
LUL
55%
19%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
HSA
0 - 3
MCA
31%
21%
49%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
TCK
3 - 1
MCA
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 4
CHF
42%
22%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
PSP
0 - 3
BEN
15%
16%
69%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CPO
0 - 0
PSP
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PSP
0 - 3
CPK
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 2
PSP
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PSP
1 - 2
TCK
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |