Monte Carlo vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
6 - 0
MCA
55%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
MCA
2 - 0
KLM
59%
18%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CPK
0 - 2
MCA
51%
20%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
MCA
4 - 1
SMA
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 2
WAK
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PSP
0 - 4
WAK
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
PSP
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PSP
2 - 0
LAI
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHF
0 - 1
PSP
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 1
PSP
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |