Monte Carlo vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MCA
2 - 3
CPK
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
CPK
3 - 1
MCA
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MCA
4 - 0
LAI
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
MCA
5 - 1
SMA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 0
PSP
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
PSP
0 - 5
BEN
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
PSP
1 - 3
WAK
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
PSP
1 - 0
CLU
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PSP
0 - 5
BEN
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |