Monte Carlo vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 5
MCA
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
MCA
1 - 1
CPO
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MCA
2 - 1
CPK
60%
19%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LAI
0 - 6
MCA
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 1
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PSP
1 - 2
LAI
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 0
PSP
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
WAK
4 - 1
PSP
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
CLU
2 - 0
PSP
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
6 - 1
PSP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |