Monte Carlo vs Hang Sai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 0
TCK
58%
19%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CHF
1 - 0
MCA
43%
20%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MCA
3 - 1
PSP
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 2
LUL
64%
17%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 0
MCA
60%
18%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hang Sai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CPO
1 - 2
HSA
71%
15%
14%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
HSA
1 - 7
BEN
31%
20%
49%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
LUL
2 - 3
HSA
54%
19%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +3 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
HSA
1 - 2
WAK
29%
19%
53%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HSA
1 - 3
SMA
35%
20%
45%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |